Urban growth modeling of Ciliwung and Cisadane watersheds within Bogor municipality by using integrated Ca-Markov and frequency ratio

Revi Hernina, A. Wicaksono, Rokhmatuloh

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Bogor Municipality with the population of 1,030,720 is crossed by two major rivers, Ciliwung and Cisadane which flow through Jakarta Greater Metropolitan Area. Related to Land Use Land Cover Change (LULCC) in watershed environment, it is interesting to compare the urban growth in Bogor Municipality within Ciliwung and Cisadane watershed to explore its driving factors. This study tries to perform urban growth modeling in Ciliwung and Cisadane watershed both located in Bogor Municipality by integrating the CA-Markov with Frequency Ratio (FR). In addition, LULC maps of Bogor Municipality in 2000 and 2007 will be used to extract the non-urban and urban areas in both watersheds. Results showed that all classes of distance to toll road and highway have FR > 1, which indicates that both factors have played an important role in driving urban growth occurrence in Ciliwung and Cisdane watersheds. When compared with LULC map of Bogor Municipality in 2014, it projected urban areas in Ciliwung parts by using integrated CA-Markov and FR showed overall accuracy of 73.14%. While urban location in Cisadane watershed within Bogor Municipality showed an overall accuracy of 74.93% when compared with the actual map of Cisadane's urban location in 2014. Based on the integrated CA-Markov and FR, it can be predicted that in 2021, 62.37% of Ciliwung areas and 50.05% of the areas in Cisadane within Bogor Municipality will become urban.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 3rd International Symposium on Current Progress in Mathematics and Sciences 2017, ISCPMS 2017
EditorsRatna Yuniati, Terry Mart, Ivandini T. Anggraningrum, Djoko Triyono, Kiki A. Sugeng
PublisherAmerican Institute of Physics Inc.
ISBN (Electronic)9780735417410
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 22 Oct 2018
Event3rd International Symposium on Current Progress in Mathematics and Sciences 2017, ISCPMS 2017 - Bali, Indonesia
Duration: 26 Jul 201727 Jul 2017

Publication series

NameAIP Conference Proceedings
Volume2023
ISSN (Print)0094-243X
ISSN (Electronic)1551-7616

Conference

Conference3rd International Symposium on Current Progress in Mathematics and Sciences 2017, ISCPMS 2017
Country/TerritoryIndonesia
CityBali
Period26/07/1727/07/17

Keywords

  • CA-Markov
  • Ciliwung
  • Cisadane
  • Frequency Ratio
  • Land Use Land Cover
  • Urban growth modeling

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'Urban growth modeling of Ciliwung and Cisadane watersheds within Bogor municipality by using integrated Ca-Markov and frequency ratio'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this