The Risk Distribution of COVID-19 in Indonesia: A Spatial Analysis

Tris Eryando, Tiopan Sipahutar, Septian Rahardiantoro

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

17 Citations (Scopus)


The COVID-19 pandemic in Indonesia started with 2 cases on March 2, 2020, and as of May 11, a total of 14 265 people were infected. The government through Task Force for COVID-19 Rapid Response informs the progress of COVID-19 pandemic in Indonesia, but no one has provided a picture of the risk distribution in all provinces in Indonesia. This research is intended to identify high-risk provinces based on risk factors in each province and to find COVID-19 hotspots. This is an ecological study that used aggregate data. We used a map to present the risk distribution in Indonesia, and Local Indicators of Spatial Association (LISA) to define the hotspot area of COVID-19 in Indonesia. There are 6 provinces identified as high-risk areas of COVID-19 in Indonesia, and the hotspot provinces are Banten, DKI Jakarta, West Java, East Java, and Central Java.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)450-452
Number of pages3
JournalAsia-Pacific Journal of Public Health
Issue number8
Publication statusPublished - Nov 2020


  • COVID-19
  • COVID-19 hotspot
  • Indonesia COVID-19
  • spatial COVID-19


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