Technology forecasting in the field of Apnea from online publications: Time series analysis on latent semantic

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

3 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Analysis of technological trends and developments has been attempted in a number of previous publications using a quantitative method to measure the growth of science. Previous studies on this subject, however, put more emphasis on the frequency either to categorize the technological classes or to find the most prominent technology for a given period of time but less analysis on the future trends. This paper presents the time series analysis of the technological trends while employing the Latent Semantic Analysis to associate each technological term. In current study, we are interested on analyzing the correlation among different trends of terms in the area of biomedical technology to deal with Apnea sleep disorder (difficulty in breathing during sleep). We assume that the study will also applicable to the other areas of research. The technological terms within the concept having the highest trend identified in our experiment are the movement disorders, cystic fibrosis, dental prosthesis, microvascular angina, and esophageal sphincter. Performance evaluation during the experiment indicates that the Support Vector Regression outperform the other techniques, while statistical techniques such as Holt's and Winter's yield above average performance and comparable to the Polynomial method.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2011 6th International Conference on Digital Information Management, ICDIM 2011
Pages127-132
Number of pages6
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 22 Dec 2011
Event2011 6th International Conference on Digital Information Management, ICDIM 2011 - var.pagings, Australia
Duration: 26 Sep 201128 Sep 2011

Publication series

Name2011 6th International Conference on Digital Information Management, ICDIM 2011

Conference

Conference2011 6th International Conference on Digital Information Management, ICDIM 2011
Country/TerritoryAustralia
Cityvar.pagings
Period26/09/1128/09/11

Keywords

  • apnea
  • forecasting
  • latent semantic indexing
  • technology
  • time series

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