Spatial modelling of shoreline change to coastal disaster management in Jakarta Bay

Andrian Libriyono, Eko Kusratmoko, Aris Poniman Kertopermono

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

2 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Analysis of shoreline change is fundamental in conducting investigations in the coastal area both by researchers, engineers, and policy makers. Effective strategies in coastal area management depend the level of accuracy in the pattern and average change in the long term on shoreline change. This study aims to provide spatial model of future shoreline changes through the identification and quantification based on the chronology of changes and predictions of shoreline positions related to the development plans of the reclaimed islands and the Giant Sea Wall in Jakarta Bay. Modeling results coastline changes in the period 1972 - 2015 shows the dominance of erosion in most parts of the study area with an average rate of change of -2.24 meters/year. Most of the shorelines are shifting towards land (erosion) in the west and south, whereas the incidence of accretion occurs mostly in the eastern part of Jakarta Bay. Prediction shoreline position in 2035 with condition of the development plans realized, the reclaimed islands will experience some sediment deposition and merger of these island, both inter-island reclamation and to the mainland (Java island). The average shift is equal to -79.08 meters (Zone 1), -56.46 meters (Zone 2), and 16.70 meters (Zone 3).

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationInternational Symposium on Earth Hazard and Disaster Mitigation, ISEDM 2017
Subtitle of host publicationThe 7th Annual Symposium on Earthquake and Related Geohazard Research for Disaster Risk Reduction
EditorsIrwan Meilano, Takeo Ito, Phil R. Cummins, Zulfakriza
PublisherAmerican Institute of Physics Inc.
ISBN (Electronic)9780735417038
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 18 Jul 2018
Event7th International Symposium on Earth Hazard and Disaster Mitigation, ISEDM 2017 - Bandung, Indonesia
Duration: 20 Nov 201721 Nov 2017

Publication series

NameAIP Conference Proceedings
Volume1987
ISSN (Print)0094-243X
ISSN (Electronic)1551-7616

Conference

Conference7th International Symposium on Earth Hazard and Disaster Mitigation, ISEDM 2017
Country/TerritoryIndonesia
CityBandung
Period20/11/1721/11/17

Keywords

  • disaster management
  • jakarta bay
  • shoreline change
  • spatial modelling

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