TY - JOUR
T1 - Modifying Hybrid Optimisation Algorithms to Construct Spot Term Structure of Interest Rates and Proposing a Standardised Assessment
AU - Sasongko, Aryo
AU - Utama, Cynthia Afriani
AU - Wibowo, Buddi
AU - Husodo, Zaäfri Ananto
N1 - Funding Information:
Scholarship contract #12/1/2010/DN/S3/DSDM on 20 August 2010 from Bank Indonesia (Bank Indonesia is my employer which gave me full-time student opportunity and scholarship).
Publisher Copyright:
© 2018, Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature.
PY - 2019/10/1
Y1 - 2019/10/1
N2 - Spot term structure is rarely available as its methodological procedures are complicated and therefore market participants substitute it with traditional term structure as an approximation. This paper proposes two hybrid optimisation algorithms consisting of traditional algorithms to reduce complex procedures. Estimated by any algorithm, curve model parameters are always prone to overshooting risks. We modify the algorithms to overcome the risks and use the algorithms to estimate on-the-run government bond data of Indonesian domestics, Yankees as well as the US Treasuries from 17th April 2013 to 29th October 2013. To confirm the validity of term structure measurement, we propose to standardize three Bolder and Stréliski criteria as there is no agreement for performance criteria. We modify goodness of fit and robustness indicators of the criteria to do reliable assessments. We have implemented the modified Bolder and Stréliski criteria to compare the performances of the algorithms and to distinguish liquid market data, the US Treasuries, from less liquid markets, Indonesian government bonds.
AB - Spot term structure is rarely available as its methodological procedures are complicated and therefore market participants substitute it with traditional term structure as an approximation. This paper proposes two hybrid optimisation algorithms consisting of traditional algorithms to reduce complex procedures. Estimated by any algorithm, curve model parameters are always prone to overshooting risks. We modify the algorithms to overcome the risks and use the algorithms to estimate on-the-run government bond data of Indonesian domestics, Yankees as well as the US Treasuries from 17th April 2013 to 29th October 2013. To confirm the validity of term structure measurement, we propose to standardize three Bolder and Stréliski criteria as there is no agreement for performance criteria. We modify goodness of fit and robustness indicators of the criteria to do reliable assessments. We have implemented the modified Bolder and Stréliski criteria to compare the performances of the algorithms and to distinguish liquid market data, the US Treasuries, from less liquid markets, Indonesian government bonds.
KW - Hybrid optimisation algorithms
KW - Modified Bolder and Stréliski performance indicators
KW - Monte Carlo method
KW - Nelson Siegel extensions
KW - Newton method
KW - Term structure of interest rates
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85073556112&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1007/s10614-018-9848-z
DO - 10.1007/s10614-018-9848-z
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85073556112
SN - 0927-7099
VL - 54
SP - 957
EP - 1003
JO - Computational Economics
JF - Computational Economics
IS - 3
ER -