TY - JOUR
T1 - Improving Accuracy of Daily Weather Forecast Model at Soekarno-Hatta Airport Using BILSTM with SMOTE and ADASYN
AU - Danitasari, Finkan
AU - Ryan, Muhammad
AU - Handoko, Djati
AU - Pramuwardani, Ida
PY - 2024/1/25
Y1 - 2024/1/25
N2 - Bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM) is an extension of LSTM which can improve model efficiency and accuracy in classification scenarios based on time series data or longer time series data repeatedly. This research uses the BiLSTM algorithm to build a daily weather forecast model at Soekarno-Hatta Airport. The model built will assist forecasters in making weather forecasts on a local scale. This research is expected to be implemented and able to increase the verification value of Soekarno-Hatta Airport weather forecasts to support flight safety in Indonesia. The dataset used is hourly surface air weather parameter data (synoptic data) of Soekarno-Hatta Meteorological Station for the period January 2018 - December 2022. There is an imbalance in the data set, so the SMOTE and ADASYN techniques are used to handle the problem. The output of this research is weather conditions categorised into sunny, sunny cloudy, cloudy, light rain, moderate rain, heavy rain, and thunder rain. The results obtained will go through model verification and evaluation by finding the accuracy value by comparing the weather forecast model output with actual weather data using a multi-category contingency table. The BiLSTM - ADASYN model obtained the highest average accuracy value compared to other models, which was 83.2%.
AB - Bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM) is an extension of LSTM which can improve model efficiency and accuracy in classification scenarios based on time series data or longer time series data repeatedly. This research uses the BiLSTM algorithm to build a daily weather forecast model at Soekarno-Hatta Airport. The model built will assist forecasters in making weather forecasts on a local scale. This research is expected to be implemented and able to increase the verification value of Soekarno-Hatta Airport weather forecasts to support flight safety in Indonesia. The dataset used is hourly surface air weather parameter data (synoptic data) of Soekarno-Hatta Meteorological Station for the period January 2018 - December 2022. There is an imbalance in the data set, so the SMOTE and ADASYN techniques are used to handle the problem. The output of this research is weather conditions categorised into sunny, sunny cloudy, cloudy, light rain, moderate rain, heavy rain, and thunder rain. The results obtained will go through model verification and evaluation by finding the accuracy value by comparing the weather forecast model output with actual weather data using a multi-category contingency table. The BiLSTM - ADASYN model obtained the highest average accuracy value compared to other models, which was 83.2%.
KW - ADASYN
KW - BiLSTM
KW - SMOTE
KW - Weather forecast
UR - https://www.jppipa.unram.ac.id/index.php/jppipa/article/view/5906
U2 - 10.29303/jppipa.v10i1.5906
DO - 10.29303/jppipa.v10i1.5906
M3 - Article
SN - 2460-2582
VL - 10
SP - 179
EP - 193
JO - Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan IPA
JF - Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan IPA
IS - 1
ER -