Application of hotspot detection using spatial scan statistic: Study of criminality in Indonesia

Taruga Runadi, Yekti Widyaningsih

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

3 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

According to the police registered data, the number of criminal cases tends to fluctuate during 2011 to 2013. It means there is no significant reduction cases number of criminal acts during that period. Local government needs to observe whether their area was a high risk of criminal case. The objectives of this study are to detect hotspot area of certain criminal cases using spatial scan statistic. This study analyzed the data of 22 criminal types cases based on province in Indonesia that occurred during 2013. The data was obtained from Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) that was released in 2014. Hotspot detection was performed according to the likelihood ratio of the Poisson model using SaTScanTM software and then mapped using R. The spatial scan statistic method successfully detected provinces that was categorized as hotspot for 22 crime types cases being analyzed with p-value less than 0.05. The local governments of province that were detected as hotspot area of certain crime cases should provide more attention to improve security quality.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationStatistics and Its Applications
Subtitle of host publicationProceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Applied Statistics, ICAS 2016
EditorsYudhie Andriyana, Yusep Suparman, Jadi Suprijadi
PublisherAmerican Institute of Physics Inc.
ISBN (Electronic)9780735414952
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 30 Mar 2017
Event2nd International Conference on Applied Statistics: Statistics and Its Applications, ICAS 2016 - Jawa Barat, Indonesia
Duration: 27 Sep 201628 Sep 2016

Publication series

NameAIP Conference Proceedings
Volume1827
ISSN (Print)0094-243X
ISSN (Electronic)1551-7616

Conference

Conference2nd International Conference on Applied Statistics: Statistics and Its Applications, ICAS 2016
CountryIndonesia
CityJawa Barat
Period27/09/1628/09/16

Keywords

  • Crime
  • Hotspot
  • Scan Statistic

Fingerprint Dive into the research topics of 'Application of hotspot detection using spatial scan statistic: Study of criminality in Indonesia'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this