TY - JOUR
T1 - A deterministic compartment model for analyzing tuberculosis dynamics considering vaccination and reinfection
AU - D.A.Ginting, Eka
AU - Aldila, Dipo
AU - Febiriana, Iffatricia H.
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2024 The Authors
PY - 2024/6
Y1 - 2024/6
N2 - Tuberculosis is a pressing global health concern, particularly pervasive in many developing nations. This study investigates the influence of treatment failure on tuberculosis control strategies, incorporating vaccination interventions using a deterministic compartmental epidemiological model. Mathematical analysis unveils disease-free and endemic equilibrium points, with the control reproduction number determined using next-generation methods. Identifying endemic equilibrium points and determining the control reproduction number provide essential metrics for assessing the effectiveness of control strategies and guiding policy decisions. The model exhibits a backward bifurcation phenomenon, leading to multiple endemic equilibria despite a reproduction number below one due to reinfection. Sensitivity analysis using Latin Hypercube Sampling/Partial Rank Correlation Coefficient elucidates parameter impacts on the control reproduction number. Vaccination efficacy is crucial for quality and validity, with superior quality and longer validity yielding more significant effects. While reinfection may not directly affect the reproduction number, its influence is pivotal in determining tuberculosis persistence or extinction. This study underscores the intricate interplay of factors in tuberculosis control strategies, providing insights vital for effective interventions and policy formulation.
AB - Tuberculosis is a pressing global health concern, particularly pervasive in many developing nations. This study investigates the influence of treatment failure on tuberculosis control strategies, incorporating vaccination interventions using a deterministic compartmental epidemiological model. Mathematical analysis unveils disease-free and endemic equilibrium points, with the control reproduction number determined using next-generation methods. Identifying endemic equilibrium points and determining the control reproduction number provide essential metrics for assessing the effectiveness of control strategies and guiding policy decisions. The model exhibits a backward bifurcation phenomenon, leading to multiple endemic equilibria despite a reproduction number below one due to reinfection. Sensitivity analysis using Latin Hypercube Sampling/Partial Rank Correlation Coefficient elucidates parameter impacts on the control reproduction number. Vaccination efficacy is crucial for quality and validity, with superior quality and longer validity yielding more significant effects. While reinfection may not directly affect the reproduction number, its influence is pivotal in determining tuberculosis persistence or extinction. This study underscores the intricate interplay of factors in tuberculosis control strategies, providing insights vital for effective interventions and policy formulation.
KW - Backward bifurcation
KW - Reinfection
KW - Sensitivity analysis
KW - Tuberculosis control analytics
KW - Vaccination
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85193965236&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.health.2024.100341
DO - 10.1016/j.health.2024.100341
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85193965236
SN - 2772-4425
VL - 5
JO - Healthcare Analytics
JF - Healthcare Analytics
M1 - 100341
ER -